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In the final decision-making process for an application, companies want to avoid mistakes at all costs. This article explains two reasons why you should trust chance instead.

When it comes to hiring, blind luck can trump biased reasoning and generate a less-is-more effect.

Exceptional innovations are often attributed to brilliant strategies or leaders with superior foresight. But luck is in fact necessary for exceptional innovations in many ways.

Product proliferation occurs in supply chains when manufacturers respond to diverse market needs by trying to produce a range of products from a limited variety of raw materials. In such a setting, manufacturers can establish market responsiveness and/or cost efficiency in alternative ways. Delaying the point of the proliferation helps manufacturers improve their responsiveness by postponing the ordering decisions of the final products until there is partial or full resolution of the demand uncertainty. This strategy can be implemented in two different ways: (1) redesigning the operations so that the point of proliferation is swapped with a downstream operation or (2) reducing the lead times. To establish cost efficiency, manufacturers can systematically reduce their operational costs or postpone the high-cost operations. We consider a multi-echelon and multi-product newsvendor problem with demand forecast evolution to analyze the value of each operational lever of the responsiveness and the efficiency. We use a generalized forecast-evolution model to characterize the demand-updating process, and develop a dynamic optimization model to determine the optimal order quantities at different echelons. Using anonymized data of Kordsa Inc., a global manufacturer of advanced composites and reinforcement materials, we show that our model outperforms a theoretical benchmark of the repetitive newsvendor model. We demonstrate that reducing the lead time of a downstream operation is more beneficial to manufacturers than reducing the lead time of an upstream operation by the same amount, whereas reducing the upstream operational costs is more favorable than reducing the downstream operational costs. We also indicate that delaying the proliferation may cause a loss of profit, even if it can be achieved with no additional costs. Finally, a decision typology is developed, which shows effective operational strategies depending on product/market characteristics and process flexibility.

This is a practitioner article based on a recently published academic paper on career shocks of executive. The article explains the phenomenon of a career shocks and offers strategies for dealing with them.

Grundlegende Fragen der Unternehmensführung, betriebswirtschaftliche Methoden, Werkzeuge und Zusammenhänge verstehen: Das Buch vermittelt Führungskräften und Studierenden die notwendigen BWL-Kenntnisse. Praxisorientiert und leicht verständlich erschließt es - gerade auch für Nicht-BWLer - alle wichtigen Themen: Von der Ausrichtung auf Markt und Wettbewerb, über die Gestaltung interner Strukturen und Prozesse, bis hin zu den Instrumenten der Unternehmenssteuerung und der Finanzberichterstattung.
Für die 5. Auflage wurden sämtliche Beiträge überarbeitet und aktualisiert. Mit Übungsaufgaben, Lösungshinweisen und Kurzglossar wichtiger englischsprachiger Fachbegriffe.